In 10 days Biden’s legacy will be cemented and Donald Trump will again be President of the United States. Trump will in his second term be the same as he was in his first, mostly ineffective, but bent on the goal of dismantling every piece of progress from his predecessor’s administration. Legislative achievements, Domestic policy …
Yearly Archives: 2025
It doesn’t really matter if its causation
Sure… there may be a clear correlation between people who throw their money solely into annuities and bonds going bankrupt, but are we sure it is causal? Sure… GDP per capita, long life expectancy, democracy, low corruption, and high press freedom are highly correlated, but how do you know it is causal? Sure… vaccinated people …
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Trump’s second foreign policy
Let’s compare Marco Rubio’s positions vs those of Joe Biden Issue Biden/Blinken Trump/Rubio Israel Unconditional support Unconditional support Ukraine Restrictions on aid that can be used Restrictions on aid Visa policy Restrictive Restrictive Europe Ambivalent Ambivalent There are large and important differences between Biden and Trump regarding domestic policy, and we have seen this in …
Recipe for success
Since finishing my degree in the field, I’ve spent the last ten years of my life poring over political economic data. I’ve read many books, but most importantly, I’ve pored over large datasets and come to some conclusions. Press freedom, democracy, corruption, income, inequality, life expectancy, education levels, and visa restrictions are closely connected. If …
Three terms in a row
Shower thoughts… how many times has a single party held the presidency for at least three terms in a row? Reagan – Bush: 1981-1993 Roosevelt – Truman: 1933-1953 Harding – Coolidge – Hoover: 1921-1933 McKinley – Roosevelt – Taft: 1897-1913 Lincoln – Johnson – Grant – Hayes – Garfield – Arthur: 1861-1885 Jefferson – Madison …
Determinants of Freedom
There is a clear correlation between the number of nationalities who can travel to a destination country without any form of visa and press freedom today. It’s hard to find a stronger correlation than this. Of countries with a democracy score over 7, only Cape Verde, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Malaysia, India, and the United …