We must get past this Tuesday, but looking forward to the future is important. Seeing the polls now and historic election trends, I think there is a genuine possibility that 2028 could be a landslide for Democrats.
This is the base map that I think will be applicable in 2028. Democrats only need to win Pennsylvania to win. With some investment, Democrats could turn Florida, Texas, and Ohio into swing states, given that Trump only won 51, 52, and 53% of the vote, a smaller margin than Biden won historically purple Virginia. These three states will be in play with a small amount of investment. This brings us to the following map:
If Republicans have to start investing in Texas, they will have less money to spend in Nevada, making it a lean Democratic state.
In such a scenario, Republicans must win all swing states except Arizona. As Republicans become more hostile towards Hispanic Americans and Hispanic Americans are a quickly growing demographic, this map starts to look likely.
If Harris wins on Tuesday and she has a successful first term, as I already outlined in Kamala’s Keys, there is no reason 2028 should not be a blowout for the Democrats.