How Biden can still win

Stop sending arms to Israel.

Send arms to Ukraine with no restrictions beyond the Geneva conventions so they win the war this summer.

The truth is that Joe Biden is one of only two American presidents who lost a war; the other is Gerald Ford, who lost Vietnam. Biden’s approval rating plummeted after we abandoned Afghanistan to the terrorists, and his approval rating has not recovered since. So we now are faced with a presidential election with two deeply unpopular candidates.

I believe Biden can gain a lot more votes if he ends the war in Ukraine by giving them everything they need to push Russians out of their land and destroy Russian military bases in Russia, and makes a peace agreement in Israel and Palestine, combined with US recognition of an independent Palestinian state.

As usual, his foreign policy and defense teams have been massively miscalculating the situation in Ukraine. We live in a world where you can type in a prompt to ChatGPT and receive an answer within seconds. We live in a world where you can tap a button on the phone and have food delivered to your house within 30 minutes from across town.

This instant gratification does not extend to politics. We want everything unpleasant to be over now, and everything pleasant to be done fast, but this cannot be how we base our foreign policy. Sometimes, things will take some time. When we left a power vacuum in Afghanistan, the terrorists and their state sponsors were more than happy to fill the power vacuum. When we give Ukraine absurd requirements so we don’t cross Putin’s “red lines,” we prolong the conflict, and innocent young Ukrainians pay the ultimate price. This is their punishment for desiring to be free.

We need to be methodical and think through situations using game theory, and it is abundantly obvious the Biden Administration is not doing this. We need to look at the options we have:

  • Afghanistan
    • Either we support a nominally government democratic government, training their security forces to the point of self-sufficiency and ensure they can educate their children, OR
    • The terrorists take over the country and girls will no longer go to school.
  • Russia/Ukraine
    • Either we support Ukraine militarily until Russia leaves all of Ukraine’s internationally recognized territory and Ukraine destroys the Russian military, OR
    • Ukraine will be fully annexed into Russia, and China will invade Taiwan.
  • Israel/Palestine
    • Either we recognize a sovereign Palestinian state and require the Israeli government to protect Palestinian civilians and send aid into Gaza, OR
    • There will be genocide.

There are no other stable third options in these three crises.

Biden can still win the presidency by forcing Israel to agree to a stable lasting peace and not sending them more military aid if they continue to violate international.

Otherwise people will not vote for him, and I pray we will keep the Senate so Trump’s second term will be as ineffective as the first.

Oh, and Democrats really need to kick Rafael Cruz (If he believes trans people should go with their name assigned with birth, so should he) out of office down in Texas if we have any chance of taking the Senate this year. The only potential reason we might lose is Collin Allred is a New Democrat.

Leave a comment

Discover more from Stidmatt

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading