Over the last 14 years, a movement has been growing to ensure that every President must win a majority of the popular vote in order to be elected. This is the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, and it’s really exciting.
It requires half of the Electoral College to come into effect, and it is more than halfway there to becoming ratified. It only needs 74 more electoral college votes in order to come into effect.
In the 2018 elections, Democrats picked up several critical governors races in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
This year we filled out a census, and every state is going to need to redraw is legislative boundaries within the next 12 months.
In all three of these states, the governor needs to approve of the legislative and congressional maps in order for them to be approved.
If these three states approve the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, it will be enacted in states worth 242 electoral votes.
Meaning we will only need 28 more votes in order to come into effect.
Nevada, Minnesota, and Virginia will likely have Democratic state legislatures by the next Presidential election, and they have 29 electoral college votes between them and have not ratified the compact yet.
If Tony Evers, and Tom Wolf use their power to force a fair legislative map, and Democrats pick up even a one seat majority each in all 6 chambers of their there state legislatures, we can approve the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact in those three states.
The Republicans have a one seat majority in the Minnesota State legislature. If we flip just one seat there and keep the governorship and the house, the first act to do is to pass the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact as soon as possible in 2023.
Democrats have a trifecta in Nevada, and we can have Nevada join the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact at any point.
Democrats have a trifecta in Virginia, and we can have Virginia join the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact at any point.
That will bring the compact to about 271 electoral college votes of the current apportionment
Except there is one snafu to this plan, the members of the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (including Nevada, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Virginia) are likely going to on net lose 5 seats in the Electoral College from the current redistricting, meaning that we will still need 4 more votes.
Fortunately for us, Maine has 4 electoral college votes and a Democratic Trifecta. If Maine joins the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact it will have 270 electoral college votes, which is enough to come into effect.
In this way, the governors of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania have more power than anyone else in America right now. Michigan approves via an independent commission. They will determine within the next 12 months not just whether the House of Representatives will be a fair shot for the Democrats or heavily gerrymandered for the Republicans advantage, but with cooperation of just three states where Democrats already have a trifecta and another state where Democrats could very easily have a trifecta in 2023, we can bring the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact into force in time for the 2024 Presidential election with the minimum required number of votes.
In order to make it stick we should also try to get at least one more so it will continue to be in effect in 2032. For this, Arizona is our best bet. Democrats need only two more seats in the State House and 3 more seats in the State Senate to take over the legislature, and if we can take the governorship in Virginia (because I highly doubt Doug Ducey is going to support such a plan) we can possibly get a trifecta in 2022 which would mean we can bring the compact up to 281 electoral college votes, which should protect us from redistricting following the 2030 and 2040 censuses.
To the governors of those 7 states, please make history and nullify the Electoral College.
Interesting. I am curious about the future!