First of all, I do not think anyone from Biden’s cabinet is going to run again. Even if they do, I do not think any of them will be able to win. They’re done. They had their chance. They blew it. Biden set Trump up for a victory through many mistakes in foreign policy, and everyone in the cabinet will have to face the question “you were working on the Biden team, and when Harris ran against Trump she lost the popular vote. What makes you more qualified than her?” They’re all done with their careers in government.
Generally, candidates will be sitting senators or governors. There are no living Democratic vice presidents who are likely to run again. It is unheard of for a Democratic candidate who lost the general election to run again and win. Harris will not be the first. Trump was able to pull it off because he has built a cult of personality. Harris does not have a cult of personality. It will be someone new.
So if we look at incumbent Senators or governors both after 1970 there are only 3 senators who will likely run. Brian Schatz of Hawaii, Martin Heinrich of New Mexico, and Chris Murphy of Connecticut.
I think it is indisputable that the War in Gaza was a major factor in bringing down the Biden administration, so we want a candidate in 2028 who supported a ceasefire. I think it is also indisputable that the War in Ukraine harmed the economy, made Biden look weak, and significantly harmed Harris’ chances of winning last November. Chris Murphy is the only sitting senator born since 1970 who has supported arming Ukraine above what the administration has done and supported a ceasefire in Gaza. He might be low profile as Senators go, but I think that could change over the next 4 years if he plays his cards right. He is well-positioned to run for president.
Other senators who supported a ceasefire and were born after 1960 were Klobuchar, Booker, and Duckworth. These three senators are other likely candidates for the presidency in 2028.
There are a wide array of democratic governors who might run for president, including Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, J.B. Pritzker, and Wes Moore.
We are looking for a governor who supports Ukraine, and supported a ceasefire in Gaza.
The one member of the House who has built up an impressive public profile and might run in 2028 is AOC.
Our next president is likely on this post.