4 days to go

This is my prediction map for the election. I think Harris has a 7/8 chance of winning.

Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania are pure tossups. Arizona will not make a difference. Harris will win the presidency if she wins one of those three swing states.

Giving Trump only a 1/8 chance of being elected on Tuesday.

Trump has a negligible chance of winning the popular vote, which unfortunately does not matter.

After talking to family and friends in Ohio and Montana, this is my expectation for the Senate race on Tuesday. Montana, Ohio, and Pennsylvania are holds for the Democrats. Arizona is a flip for the Democrats. West Virginia is a hold for the Republicans. Texas and Florida are swing states.

The House could go either way. I cannot make a prediction, it’s a total tossup.

Let’s hope I am right.

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